Refer to my coments above on 23-12-09
Genetic forcasters work on what SHOULD happen if you breed 100 young from the same pair.
It's like if you flip a coin 100 times it should come up heads 50 times and tails 50 times, but because everything in breeding and gambling is random it is not always that simple.
eg. you breed your pair and get all black headed girls for three nestings, then the next year you breed them and get all red headed hens for three nestings. See the forcaster is right you got 50% of each
It is the result over the breeding life of the pair of birds that is being predicted, not over a single nesting.
I know it's frustrating, and I have just re-sorted all mine and am looking forward to this seasons frustration.
LML